Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 78206.542188 82606.349195 87009.431217 91743.285619 96685.650255 101690.313770 107137.980306
2025-12-21 70878.953977 77570.863307 84458.097857 92066.528414 100226.352350 108705.107357 118171.575768
2025-12-28 66490.809465 74828.259283 83599.200709 93494.285579 104326.920635 115805.212983 128866.892143
2026-01-04 62903.407149 72474.304232 82729.412191 94502.538352 107611.255871 121724.930953 138035.253312
2026-01-11 59764.651314 70299.380777 81770.663072 95141.789876 110249.518125 126740.244259 146050.301583
2026-01-18 56797.924396 68084.781146 80556.505106 95294.824898 112167.723091 130812.097466 152900.655112
2026-01-25 54262.464607 66189.442069 79547.192146 95531.900771 114051.579528 134743.243409 159516.191385
2026-02-01 51823.311310 64263.251704 78373.213617 95457.538199 115472.523467 138065.167218 165377.369458
2026-02-08 50101.230703 63078.933030 77971.554832 96198.471563 117769.466813 142345.836214 172317.269990
2026-02-15 48113.326057 61480.237342 76994.458849 96180.750879 119109.778683 145467.257472 177880.638794
2026-02-22 47013.025123 60890.461588 77164.025733 97479.662960 121972.595937 150353.782119 185517.573029
2026-03-01 45779.903793 60078.205805 77014.047721 98349.890094 124291.584183 154583.178346 192383.299083
2026-03-08 44150.907602 58732.949413 76184.015571 98375.352815 125591.785590 157621.276120 197881.253299
2026-03-15 42764.267983 57638.820904 75617.572986 98685.570762 127211.872094 161033.376264 203839.386323
2026-03-22 42054.343804 57363.762144 76036.096614 100189.278287 130281.237286 166198.587662 211938.807088
2026-03-29 41184.839206 56847.460765 76122.048299 101254.459241 132796.655351 170692.394335 219243.844162
2026-04-05 40188.394949 56128.920437 75919.979721 101930.413135 134810.743034 174568.801293 225807.505962
2026-04-12 39015.380491 55139.483552 75337.106943 102092.232221 136157.718372 177612.553661 231351.005666
2026-04-19 37945.057260 54248.241627 74847.135241 102343.023862 137594.991774 180757.728144 237024.497442
2026-04-26 36787.318961 53203.534886 74124.850943 102264.349369 138590.371342 183339.147779 241997.007680
2026-05-03 36052.066308 52699.037249 74083.725818 103048.173376 140675.329879 187284.763918 248690.287991
2026-05-10 35020.417175 51761.892347 73446.136622 103029.427361 141710.924154 189900.586355 253717.171701
2026-05-17 34600.289595 51642.554672 73876.929691 104403.386037 144545.092714 194803.021730 261658.339175